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Refiner Neste Warns of Weaker Biofuel Outlook, Shares Drop

Company makes third cut to renewables organization outlook this year

Reduces both margin and volume outlook

Weaker diesel market strikes biofuel prices

(Adds expert, background, information in paragraphs 2-3, 9-11)

By Elviira Luoma and Essi Lehto

HELSINKI, Sept 11 (Reuters) – Finnish refiner Neste on Wednesday cut the margin outlook for its biofuel company for the third time this year due to falling costs and also decreased its expected sales volumes, sending the company’s share rate down 10%.

Neste said a drop in the cost of regular diesel had actually impacted what it can charge for the biofuel it makes in Europe and Singapore, while input expenses for waste and residue feedstock remained high.

A rush by U.S. fuel makers to recalibrate their plants to produce eco-friendly diesel has actually developed a supply glut of low-emissions biofuels, hammering earnings margins for refiners and threatening to restrain the nascent market.

Neste in a declaration slashed the anticipated typical equivalent sales margin of its renewables system to between $360-$480 per tonne of biofuel, below $480-$580 per tonne seen in July and well below the $600-$800 seen in February.

The company now likewise anticipates renewables-based sales volumes in 2024 to be about 3.9 million tonnes instead of the 4.4 million it had actually predicted given that the start of the year, it included.

A part of the volume cut came from the production of sustainable aviation fuel, of which it is now anticipated to sell between 350,000-550,000 tonnes this year, down from in between 500,000 and 700,000 tonnes seen formerly, Neste stated.

“Renewable products’ prices have actually been adversely affected by a substantial decrease in (the) diesel price throughout the third quarter,” Neste stated in a statement.

“At the very same time, waste and residue feedstock prices have not decreased and eco-friendly product market value premiums have stayed weak,” the company included.

Industry executives and experts have said quickly expanding Chinese biodiesel producers are seeking brand-new outlets in Asia for their exports, while Shell and BP have announced they are pausing expansion plans in Europe.

While the cut in Neste’s assistance on sales volumes of sustainable aviation fuel came as a surprise, the unfavorable influence on biodiesel margins from a lower diesel price was to be anticipated, Inderes expert Petri Gostowski stated.

Neste’s share cost had actually reversed some losses by 1037 GMT but remained down 5.8% on the day and 48% lower year-to-date. (Reporting by Elviira Luoma, Essi Lehto and Boleslaw Lasocki; Editing by and Jan Harvey)

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